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Trump’s False Claims: A Watchlist for Election Night 2024

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As Donald Trump embarks on his campaign for the 2024 presidential election, concerns about misinformation are rising. Following a contentious 2020 election marked by numerous falsehoods in Trump’s statements, analysts are urging voters to be vigilant against potential inaccuracies during the upcoming election night. Here are twelve possible false claims to watch for as results begin to come in.

False Declarations of Victory
In 2020, Trump prematurely declared himself the winner of several swing states while votes were still being counted. As he prepares for another election, there are concerns he may repeat this behavior. Fact-checkers advise against trusting candidates’ self-proclamations and recommend waiting for major media outlets to make official calls on state and national results.

False Claims Against Kamala Harris
Should Vice President Kamala Harris win, Trump may allege that her victory is a result of cheating. Experts emphasize that polls indicate a competitive race, and both candidates have legitimate paths to victory.

Misleading Election-Related Videos
Social media has been rife with manipulated videos that misrepresent election activities. Trump previously mischaracterized footage from Georgia as evidence of wrongdoing by election workers. Fact-checkers suggest verifying claims against reputable sources like state election offices.

Misrepresentation of Reporting Errors
In 2020, a reporting error in Michigan was used to fuel conspiracy theories about election rigging. Analysts caution against assuming malicious intent behind initial reporting mistakes, reminding voters that human error is common in large-scale elections.

Claims of Widespread Fraud in Democratic Cities
Trump has long claimed that cities with large Black populations engage in voter fraud. Experts remind voters to demand evidence for such claims, noting that there was no substantiated evidence of widespread fraud in these areas in 2020.

Suspicious Late-Night Vote Counts
Trump previously suggested that votes counted late at night were suspicious. In reality, late counts are standard in populous areas. Voter counting naturally takes time, especially in urban centers.

Contesting Vote-Counting Post-Election Day
Trump has raised doubts about the legitimacy of counting ballots after election night. However, officials continue to tally votes until all valid ballots are accounted for, despite media calls based on incomplete data.

Mail-In Ballot Fraud Claims
Despite Trump’s assertions, there is no evidence to support widespread fraud related to mail-in ballots. While there may be slightly higher instances of fraud compared to in-person voting, the rates are extremely low.

Concerns Over Ballots Arriving After Election Day
Trump has suggested that mail-in ballots received after Election Day should not be counted. However, many states allow these ballots, especially those from servicemembers and citizens living abroad, as long as they are postmarked by Election Day.

Identity Verification for Military and Overseas Votes
In September, Trump claimed that military ballots were not properly verified. Experts confirm that these ballots are subject to identity checks at the local level.

False Allegations of Noncitizen Voting
Trump has repeatedly alleged that noncitizens vote illegally in large numbers. Experts assert that such claims are unfounded, citing very few documented cases of noncitizen voting.

Misrepresentation of Voter Registration Applications
Ahead of the upcoming election, Trump claimed that over 2,000 fraudulent votes were identified in a Pennsylvania county. However, this issue related to suspicious voter registration applications, not actual votes.

As the election approaches, vigilance against misinformation is crucial. Voters are urged to verify claims against reliable sources to ensure an informed electoral process.

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Trump’s “Golden Age” and Parallels to the Gilded Age: A Historical Perspective

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As President Donald Trump touts a new “golden age” for the United States, some critics have raised comparisons to the Gilded Age—a period in the late 19th and early 20th centuries marked by industrial growth, extreme wealth inequality, and political corruption. To better understand these parallels, historian Richard White, a Stanford professor emeritus, offers insight into the similarities and differences between Trump’s vision and the historical era.

In a recent interview, White noted that while the Gilded Age and today share some common themes, including a focus on industrialization, tariffs, and the consolidation of wealth, they are also distinct in many ways. “Trump’s focus on industrialization and his approach to tariffs mirror the economic policies of the Gilded Age,” White explained. “The way he courts the wealthy also resonates with the period of monopolies and robber barons.”

During his first term, Trump often admired Andrew Jackson, but recently shifted his admiration to William McKinley, a figure emblematic of the Gilded Age. White pointed out that McKinley was known for advocating tariffs, such as the McKinley Tariff, which ultimately had negative political consequences. Trump’s policies, including his push for high tariffs, reflect a similar economic strategy, though White emphasized McKinley’s later moderation of such policies, which Trump has not mirrored.

Another parallel can be found in the evolution of political power. The Gilded Age saw a push for civil service reform following the assassination of President McKinley, and the subsequent presidency of Theodore Roosevelt. Roosevelt’s reforms helped create a more professionalized bureaucracy. Today, Trump’s attempts to weaken the power of the federal bureaucracy contrast with the historical trajectory of strengthening civil service institutions, White explained.

The role of wealth in politics also draws comparisons between Trump’s era and the Gilded Age. White observed that tech magnates like Elon Musk, who have amassed fortunes through government contracts and subsidies, echo the industrialists of the past, such as Andrew Carnegie and John D. Rockefeller. These figures, who influenced both the economy and politics, set a precedent for today’s tech titans, who enjoy similar access to political power.

White also pointed out that inequality, a hallmark of the Gilded Age, remains a defining issue in modern America. While the specific nature of economic ambition has evolved, the pursuit of wealth and financial security continues to shape American society. The conversation about the gold standard during the Gilded Age also mirrors today’s debate over the future of currency, particularly with Trump’s interest in cryptocurrency and the rise of speculative financial practices.

In conclusion, while there are undeniable echoes of the Gilded Age in Trump’s “golden age,” White cautioned that the historical parallels are not perfect. “We’re entering speculative territory again, but it’s important to understand the structural differences,” he said, referring to the shift in economic challenges from deflation in the late 19th century to modern-day deficits. As the U.S. navigates these challenges, it’s clear that history continues to inform the present.

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Biden Administration Leaves Strong Consumer Protections Amid Political Shift

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As the Biden administration nears its conclusion, it leaves behind a legacy of significant consumer protections, many of which directly impact Americans’ daily lives. While Democrats lost power in Washington in part due to rising costs and discontent, the administration has implemented a series of new rules aimed at easing the financial burden on consumers.

One of the most notable changes includes a cap on insulin costs for Medicare recipients. Under a law passed by Democrats, Americans enrolled in Medicare will pay no more than $35 per month for insulin. Additionally, some pharmaceutical companies are expanding this price cap to benefit even more individuals. A new rule from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) also caps overdraft fees at $5, offering relief to bank customers.

In addition to price caps, the Biden administration has made strides to enhance transparency and eliminate hidden costs. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has cracked down on “junk fees” for concert tickets and imposed new rules for short-term rental companies, requiring clearer cost disclosures. Online review manipulation is also being scrutinized, with fines now possible for businesses caught posting fake reviews.

Travelers have also seen increased protections, as the Department of Transportation now mandates airline refunds for certain cancellations. A new government website also helps passengers compare airline policies. Additionally, the Federal Aviation Administration has proposed a rule to help families with children sit together without extra charges.

Cable and internet customers are benefiting from new transparency measures, with the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) implementing clearer billing guidelines. A “nutrition label” for internet bills is set to make pricing easier to understand. The FCC is also working to combat scam texts, requiring mobile service providers to block suspicious messages.

The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) is also addressing subscription services, requiring that all online subscriptions include an easy “click-to-cancel” option. Meanwhile, the CFPB is working to remove medical debt from most credit reports, although that rule faces legal challenges.

Consumer advocates have praised these changes, noting that they reflect an ongoing trend toward increased transparency and fairness. Teresa Murray, director of the Public Interest Research Group, remarked that consumer protection in the U.S. is “becoming more transparent,” while Susan Weinstock, CEO of the Consumer Federation of America, called Biden the “strongest consumer protection president” in U.S. history.

Despite these efforts, the incoming Trump administration may seek to dismantle some of these regulations. Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, a key figure in Trump’s government efficiency push, has expressed support for eliminating the CFPB, an agency established after the 2008 financial crisis.

As the political landscape shifts, consumer protections remain a central issue, with bipartisan support for measures that ensure transparency and fairness in the marketplace. These rules are expected to have lasting impacts on both businesses and consumers alike.

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Trump to Rely on Historic Laws for His First-Year Agenda, Despite Legal Challenges

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President-elect Donald Trump is preparing to invoke several centuries-old laws to implement key parts of his first-year agenda, focusing primarily on immigration policy and birthright citizenship. Trump plans to leverage laws with deep historical roots, dating back to the late 18th century, in an attempt to fulfill his campaign promises. However, his use of these laws could lead to significant legal challenges, potentially reaching the Supreme Court.

One of the laws Trump intends to use is the Alien Enemies Act of 1798, a controversial statute dating back to the Adams administration. This law allows the federal government to expedite the deportation of citizens from “hostile nations” in times of war or national emergency. Trump has suggested that he may use the law to target undocumented migrants, describing their arrival as an “invasion” and asserting that such powers are necessary to confront this “enemy from within.”

Although the law was last used during World War II to imprison Japanese nationals, legal experts warn that invoking it during peacetime would be a significant legal overreach. Katherine Yon Ebright, a counsel with the Brennan Center’s Liberty and National Security Program, argues that the law’s historical use in wartime makes its application outside of such a context highly questionable. Despite this, Trump’s strategy appears to be rooted in a belief that older, stronger laws could be his ticket to success.

In addition to the Alien Enemies Act, Trump has also expressed interest in enforcing the 1873 Comstock Act, which bans the mailing of “lewd” or “indecent” materials. Some of his allies, including Vice President-elect JD Vance, have suggested that this law could be used to block the mailing of abortion medication. Although Trump has signaled that he would not prioritize the enforcement of the law regarding abortion drugs, pressure from anti-abortion advocates may push his administration to take action on this issue.

Trump’s stance on using military forces for domestic purposes also echoes past legal theories, such as the Insurrection Act of 1807. The act gives the president broad authority to deploy the military in domestic situations, including for immigration enforcement. Though the act has been used sparingly throughout history, including by President George H.W. Bush during the 1992 Los Angeles riots, its potential invocation could face legal scrutiny due to the general prohibition on using the military for civilian law enforcement.

Finally, Trump remains focused on challenging birthright citizenship, a principle enshrined in the 14th Amendment. Legal experts believe that any attempt to restrict birthright citizenship would be met with strong opposition in the courts, as the Supreme Court has consistently upheld the right of those born on U.S. soil to citizenship.

As Trump prepares to push forward with these historic legal challenges, the Supreme Court may soon be called upon to weigh in on the constitutionality of his ambitious agenda.

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