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Bank of England Could Cut Rates by Six Times, Goldman Sachs Predicts

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The Bank of England could deliver as many as six interest rate cuts by mid-2026, according to new projections from Goldman Sachs. The investment bank anticipates that rates will fall to 3.25 percent by the second quarter of 2026, citing weaker economic activity and decreasing inflationary pressures.

Goldman Sachs’ forecast comes amid growing market expectations that the Bank of England will implement two interest rate cuts this year. Economists predict that the central bank could begin this process as soon as its next meeting in February, potentially setting the stage for a steady pace of quarterly cuts throughout 2025.

Last year, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) made two rate cuts, lowering the key rate from 5.25 percent to 4.75 percent amid faltering economic growth. Goldman Sachs suggests that the market may not be anticipating enough cuts, projecting that sluggish demand and a continued drop in inflation will prompt the central bank to take more decisive action.

The new projections are supported by recent economic data, including a lower-than-expected GDP growth figure of just 0.1 percent for November, along with a significant decline in services inflation to 4.4 percent in the past month. Private sector surveys have also shown signs of a weakening labor market, with unemployment at 4.4 percent and job vacancies falling to their lowest levels since mid-2021.

Alan Taylor, a new member of the Bank of England’s MPC, recently indicated his openness to more aggressive rate cuts. He suggested that reducing rates by five or six times could help guide the UK economy toward a “soft landing.”

The Bank of England has been adjusting interest rates to curb inflation, which reached record highs last year. However, the economic environment has shifted, with inflationary pressures easing and growth slowing, leading to speculation that the central bank could take a more dovish stance in the coming months.

As the economic landscape evolves, the market and policymakers will be closely watching the MPC’s next moves. If Goldman Sachs’ forecast proves correct, the Bank of England’s series of rate cuts could provide much-needed relief for consumers and businesses, though some concerns remain about the long-term impact on economic stability.

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Trump Media & Technology Group Expands Into Cryptocurrency and Fintech with Launch of Truth.Fi

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Donald Trump’s media company, Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), has announced plans to enter the cryptocurrency and financial technology markets under a new brand, Truth.Fi. The news prompted a 15% rise in TMTG’s shares during pre-market trading on Wednesday.

The company stated that Truth.Fi would focus on investment accounts and cryptocurrency services, including Bitcoin and other crypto-related securities. TMTG is committing up to $250 million to fund the initiative, with Charles Schwab managing the assets.

This expansion into the fintech space is expected to raise new concerns about potential conflicts of interest, especially considering Trump’s previous role as president. Last week, Trump faced criticism for launching a meme coin shortly before his inauguration, an event that former government ethics officials called “shameful” due to its timing.

Despite struggling to establish a social network competitive with major players like Meta Platforms’ Facebook and Instagram or Elon Musk’s X, TMTG has raised millions since becoming publicly traded last year. Much of its financial backing has come from its status as a “meme stock,” buoyed by social media attention rather than its performance in the social media market.

In a statement released Wednesday, TMTG, which is majority-owned by Trump, outlined plans to introduce a series of investment vehicles under the Truth.Fi banner in the coming months. Devin Nunes, the company’s CEO, described the move as a “natural expansion” of the Truth Social movement. Nunes further emphasized that Truth.Fi would support “American patriots” in defending themselves against “cancel culture” and “big tech censorship.”

The launch of Truth.Fi signals TMTG’s broader ambitions beyond social media, marking a shift toward the rapidly growing cryptocurrency and fintech sectors. However, as the company moves into these new areas, it is likely to face increased scrutiny regarding both its business practices and its founder’s previous political ties.

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One in Five UK Workers Fear Speaking Up About Mental Health, Study Finds

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More than one in five UK employees feel unable to discuss their mental health struggles in the workplace, according to new research highlighting persistent stigma and a lack of employer support.

The study, based on data from the Health and Safety Executive (HSE) and the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development (CIPD), reveals that 7.5 million workers experience anxiety, depression, or stress caused or worsened by their jobs. Despite these challenges, they do not feel safe disclosing their difficulties to their employers.

A significant gender divide emerged in the findings, with 3.9 million men reporting workplace-related mental health issues without seeking support. This figure is 8% higher than the 3.5 million women who experienced similar struggles, suggesting that men may feel a greater reluctance to ask for help.

Industry-Wide Disparities

The research also identified stark differences across industries. The automotive sector had the highest proportion of employees suffering in silence, with 1.13 million workers reporting unaddressed mental health concerns. This was closely followed by the health and social care sector, where 1.11 million employees kept their struggles private.

In contrast, the arts, entertainment, and recreation industry recorded the lowest number of workers suffering unseen, at 264,000. The financial and insurance sector followed closely behind, with 256,000 employees reluctant to speak up about their mental health challenges.

Calls for Workplace Change

Richard Stockley, Managing Director at RRC International, which conducted the research, described the findings as “shocking.” He emphasized that while progress has been made in addressing mental health stigma, many workers still do not feel comfortable discussing their struggles.

“Our research shines a very necessary light on the issue, helping employers better understand just how widespread mental health challenges are,” Stockley said. “Change begins in the workplace, and with the right culture and training, employers can ensure their businesses are safe spaces for all who work there.”

The findings underscore the need for businesses to foster open discussions about mental health and provide proper support structures for employees. Experts suggest that implementing mental health training for managers, offering confidential support services, and promoting an inclusive workplace culture could help break down barriers and encourage workers to seek help without fear of stigma or repercussions.

As workplace mental health remains a growing concern, the study serves as a wake-up call for employers to take meaningful steps toward improving employee well-being and creating an environment where mental health can be discussed openly and without fear.

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UK Rental Prices See First Decline in Over Five Years, But London Sees Continued Rise

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Rents across the UK have experienced a slight dip for the first time in over five years, according to new data from Rightmove. While rental prices outside of London have decreased marginally by 0.2%, tenants in the capital are still facing record-high rates.

The national average rent outside London fell to £1,341 per month, a drop of just £3, marking the first decline since late 2019. Though the change is minimal, Rightmove describes it as a “key milestone” reflecting an improving balance between rental supply and demand. Despite the decrease, rents outside London remain 4.7% higher than a year ago, although this is significantly below the peak inflation rate of 12% experienced in 2022.

Colleen Babcock, Rightmove’s head of trade marketing, attributes the easing of rents to a 13% increase in the number of rental properties available compared to last year, while the number of prospective tenants has decreased by 16%. The northeast of England has seen the most notable growth in rental supply, and Babcock believes that some renters may have transitioned to homeownership, aided by stabilising mortgage rates and slower house price growth.

Despite the slight drop, demand for rental properties remains high, with each property attracting around ten applicants on average. Since the first lockdown in March 2020, rents outside London have surged by 64%, while London rents have risen by 28%.

In contrast to the national trend, rents in London continue to climb. The average rent in the capital has hit a record high of £2,695 per month, marking new highs each quarter since late 2021. However, London’s annual rent increase of 2.4% is the lowest seen in nearly four years, suggesting a cooling off in the once-heated market.

Alex Bloxham, head of residential lettings at Bidwells, noted that the market is showing signs of cooling, stating that further improvements in supply could lead to downward pressure on rents in the future.

Meanwhile, the UK government’s proposed Renters’ Rights Bill, aimed at enhancing tenant security and rights, may be introduced later this year. Although some landlords have expressed concerns about the reforms, Rightmove has not observed any immediate effects on the market as of yet.

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