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UK Car Production Faces Significant Decline Amid Export Challenges

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Data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) reveals a sharp decline in UK car production, with both domestic and export markets facing significant downturns. Production for the UK market fell by 20.8% in September compared to the previous year, while exports dropped by 20.6%. This decline follows a particularly strong September 2022, which marked the best month for UK car production since 2020, making the current year-on-year comparison even more pronounced.

Despite the September downturn, overall production for the UK market has seen a year-to-date increase of 6.5%. However, this growth is overshadowed by a steep 14.4% decrease in exports, leading to an overall production decline of 10.2% for 2024, with 592,862 units produced thus far.

Challenges in Overseas Markets

The export slump is particularly evident in several key overseas markets. Shipments to China, a major destination for UK car exports, fell by 23.1% in September as the country grapples with an economic slowdown. While China’s GDP grew by 4.6% in the third quarter of 2024, it fell short of the government’s target of 5%, impacting demand for imported goods, including vehicles. In response, Beijing has implemented measures aimed at stimulating growth in the world’s second-largest economy.

Similarly, exports to the EU, which is the UK’s largest market for cars, experienced a significant decline, dropping by 28.6% in September to 26,825 units. This decrease coincides with weaker car sales across the European bloc, with the European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association reporting an 18.3% drop in EU car sales in August, the lowest in three years. Major markets such as Germany, France, and Italy all experienced double-digit declines.

On a more positive note, exports to the US rose by 24.6% in September, totaling 8,210 units and accounting for 16% of total UK car shipments.

Transitioning to Electric Vehicles

The decline in production has largely been attributed to car manufacturers retooling their factories to focus on electric and hybrid vehicle production. This shift aligns with the UK’s goal of phasing out internal combustion engine vehicles by 2030. Notably, nearly a third of all cars produced in the UK in September were battery electric, plug-in hybrid, or hybrid models, underscoring the industry’s transition toward greener technologies.

Mike Hawes, chief executive of the SMMT, characterized the production declines as “short-term” and anticipated. He emphasized the need for “the necessary industrial and market conditions” to stimulate growth. Hawes urged the government to leverage the upcoming Autumn Budget and industrial strategy to enhance business confidence, attract investment, and secure the competitiveness of the UK automotive sector.

Despite the production challenges, the automotive industry remains the UK’s largest exporter of manufactured goods. The sector accounted for 13.9% of total exports in the first half of 2024, highlighting its critical role in the UK economy. As manufacturers pivot towards zero-emission vehicles, they will depend heavily on supportive government policies and investment to maintain their global competitiveness and meet the growing demand for electric cars.

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UK Economy Grows Modestly by 0.1% in November, Falling Short of Expectations

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The UK economy grew by a modest 0.1% in November, missing forecasts of 0.2%, according to data released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on Friday. While the figure marks a slight recovery from two consecutive months of 0.1% contraction, it underscores the ongoing challenges facing Britain’s economic recovery as Labour’s new government contends with high inflation, weak consumer confidence, and global trade uncertainties.

The disappointing GDP result caused a small dip in the value of the pound, which fell 0.10% against the dollar to $1.22 and 0.25% against the euro to €1.18. Despite the lackluster economic growth, the UK’s equity markets remained buoyant, with the FTSE 100 climbing by 1.1%, or 90.77 points, to 8,391.90, and the FTSE 250 up 1%, gaining 194.08 points to 20,527.70. Government bond yields remained flat, reflecting a mix of investor caution and optimism following a surprising drop in inflation earlier this week.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves acknowledged the modest progress but emphasized that more significant improvements would take time. The latest three-month data from the ONS revealed zero growth over the period leading up to November, further highlighting the difficult path ahead for the government.

Business sentiment remains cautious following Labour’s October budget, which introduced a £25 billion increase in national insurance contributions and £70 billion in additional government spending. Many businesses have warned that these measures could lead to job cuts and higher prices as they adjust to the new tax burdens.

Reeves defended her approach, insisting that her government has ended the “instability” caused by the previous Conservative administration. “This new government has come in with a determination, a No 1 mission, to grow the economy. That takes time,” she said, adding that she will meet with regulators to push for a stronger pro-growth focus ahead of the spring statement and the Office for Budget Responsibility’s updated forecasts in March.

Concerns about a potential trade war, fueled by the incoming US President Donald Trump’s pledge to impose tariffs on imports, also loom large. Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds expressed unease about the possibility of a “tariff war between friends.”

Reeves also faces growing pressure to manage public finances carefully, with market borrowing costs rising. Speculation is mounting that the Chancellor may need to raise taxes or curb spending. However, Reeves remains committed to “rooting out waste in public spending” while prioritizing growth.

Optimism has emerged following an unexpected drop in inflation to 2.5% in December, with some analysts predicting that the Bank of England may soon begin lowering interest rates, currently at 4.75%. This could offer relief to borrowers, particularly those struggling with high mortgage costs.

Despite the slight growth in services, November’s figures highlighted weaknesses in other sectors. Construction saw a 0.4% rise, driven by commercial developments, but manufacturing and oil and gas extraction continued to struggle. Analysts caution that these figures do little to dispel concerns about a stagnant economy heading into 2025.

The OBR projects 2% GDP growth for 2025, although some experts consider this overly optimistic, given the potential risks of a trade war or additional global economic downturns. Reeves’ challenge is clear: delivering a robust economic recovery remains a formidable task. As HSBC analysts put it, “For a government that has said growth is its top priority, this is not great news.”

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Asos to Close Major US Warehouse, Announces £200 Million Impairment Charge

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Asos has revealed plans to shut down its major US warehouse near Atlanta, Georgia, in a move aimed at cutting costs and boosting profitability. The decision comes with a one-off impairment charge of £200 million, as the online fashion retailer shifts its American operations to its automated UK distribution centre in Barnsley and a smaller, more flexible facility in the US.

The closure of the Union City site is expected to contribute between £10 million and £20 million to Asos’s pre-tax earnings from 2026 onward. However, it will result in a £190 million impairment for the current financial year. Despite this, Asos’s shares rose by 6.5% on the day of the announcement, though they have fallen by more than 85% over the past five years.

Although Asos’s US arm has remained profitable, the company admitted that American demand and stock levels no longer justified maintaining a large-scale warehouse. The move comes as competition has intensified from fast-fashion competitors such as Shein, Temu, and Boohoo, the latter of which also closed its US site. According to Asos, the shift to serving US customers from the UK and a smaller American facility will allow the company to offer a wider product variety while reducing fulfilment costs. However, customers may experience slower delivery times.

Asos confirmed that only seven direct employees would be affected by the closure, with logistics partners working to redeploy hundreds of staff to nearby locations. The decision follows a series of restructuring measures put in place by chief executive José Antonio Ramos Calamonte, aimed at improving profitability and reshaping the retailer’s business model. His strategy includes reducing stock levels, cutting back on discounts, and adopting a more flexible “test-and-react” approach to inventory management.

The Union City warehouse, which opened in 2018 under former CEO Nick Beighton, was initially considered a key part of Asos’s expansion into the North American market. However, analysts at Panmure Liberum have suggested that the closure represents a shift in the company’s long-term ambitions in the US. On the other hand, analysts at Deutsche Bank continue to view significant international growth potential for Asos, particularly in the US and Europe, where the company maintains a local infrastructure.

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Dyson Cancels £100 Million Bristol Research Hub, Consolidates Operations at Malmesbury Campus

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Dyson has announced the cancellation of its £100 million technical and research centre in Bristol, opting instead to consolidate its southwest operations at its flagship campus in Malmesbury, Wiltshire. This move will result in the relocation of 180 staff, originally slated for the new Bristol hub at 1 Georges Square, to the company’s main site, which also houses the Dyson Institute and its engineering degree programme.

The British technology company, renowned for its vacuum cleaners, hairdryers, and other household innovations, had revealed plans for the Bristol hub in 2023. However, Bill Wright, Dyson’s UK HR director, explained that consolidating teams in one location would foster greater collaboration in research and innovation. “As the pace of innovation accelerates, we increasingly see the benefits of having teams all located together in one physical location,” Wright said.

Dyson had already invested significantly in refurbishing the Bristol site but confirmed that 1 Georges Square will now be put up for lease. To assist staff with the relocation, Dyson will introduce a coach service and provide free electric car charging points to ease the impact of the move.

This decision follows a global review by the company, which last year prompted the announcement of potential cuts to up to a third of its UK workforce. The move also comes amid founder Sir James Dyson’s outspoken criticism of the UK’s economic policies, particularly Labour’s proposed tax hikes and national insurance increases. In a letter to The Telegraph, Dyson called out the Labour party, saying, “Why would anyone start a company in the UK? The hit delivered by Labour to business, and the destruction of British family-owned businesses especially, is an egregious act of self-harm.”

While Dyson insists that the closure of the Bristol site is a business-driven decision and not a political statement, the move highlights the company’s ongoing strategy of consolidating its operations. Dyson, which is now headquartered in Singapore, appears committed to focusing its innovation efforts at the historic Malmesbury campus, where the company was originally founded.

The decision to centralize operations at Malmesbury reflects Dyson’s broader strategy to streamline its research and development efforts, as the company continues to navigate challenges in the global market.

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