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Industry Leaders Warn of Business Rates Crisis Ahead of Budget

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Industry leaders are sounding the alarm as the hospitality sector faces a potential crisis, with business rates set to quadruple after the current relief ends on March 31. This dramatic increase could cost the industry an additional £914 million, prompting urgent calls for reform from Chancellor Rachel Reeves in the upcoming budget.

A coalition of 170 hospitality business leaders, including executives from major pub chains like Greene King and JD Wetherspoon, as well as representatives from high street establishments such as Caffè Nero and IHG Hotels, have penned a letter to the chancellor advocating for immediate action. They are urging the government to implement a lower, permanent business rates multiplier specifically for the hospitality sector across all UK nations.

UKHospitality, the industry’s trade body, has emphasized that the upcoming budget represents the government’s “last chance” to avert a significant cost increase that could devastate the sector. Kate Nicholls, chief executive of UKHospitality, warned that without intervention, the sector may face more closures, leading to vacant high streets and a growing number of empty venues.

Impact of Business Rates on Growth

The hospitality industry, which encompasses pubs, restaurants, cafes, and hotels, has benefitted from business rates relief since it was introduced as part of the government’s pandemic response in 2020. However, with this relief set to expire in just over five months, there are mounting concerns regarding the long-term implications of a quadrupling tax burden.

The group of 170 hospitality leaders pointed out that the current cap on business rates relief has hindered expansion efforts, making many venues reluctant to open new locations due to high associated costs. This stifling effect on growth is exacerbated by the perception that business rates are disproportionately high compared to the economic activity generated by the sector.

“The current tax system discourages people from running high street businesses,” the group stated in their letter. “The government should be encouraging growth and investment, not making it harder for businesses to operate.”

Threat to High Streets and Local Economies

The looming threat to the hospitality sector comes at a time when the government is striving to rejuvenate high streets and foster local community investment. Nicholls argued that without meaningful changes to business rates, the government risks undermining its own growth objectives.

“Further closures will be detrimental to the government’s growth agenda and impede our sector’s ability to create vibrant places for people to live, work, and invest,” she said. “If we want to retain vital investment, job creation, and the regeneration of our high streets, the chancellor must introduce a lower level of business rates for hospitality in the budget.”

Other trade organizations, including the British Retail Consortium, have echoed these sentiments, asserting that high business rates contribute to an alarming wave of shop closures and job losses, inflicting both social and economic costs on high streets across the UK.

A Call for Fair Taxation

As the government navigates increasing fiscal pressures, the hospitality sector argues that rebalancing the tax burden could provide a viable solution. UKHospitality and other industry leaders believe the current system unfairly penalizes hospitality businesses, which pay a disproportionate share of business rates relative to their economic activity.

By reforming the business rates system, they argue, the government could support long-term investment in the sector, create jobs, and rejuvenate high streets. With the spring deadline approaching, the industry is urging Chancellor Reeves to take decisive action in the upcoming budget to avert a significant crisis in one of the UK’s most vital sectors.

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HMRC Reports £24 Billion Increase in Tax Receipts, Boosting Government Finances

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HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) has reported a significant rise in tax receipts, marking a positive development for the government following recent budget criticisms. According to leading audit and business advisory firm Blick Rothenberg, total tax receipts have increased by £24 billion over the past year compared to the previous 12-month period.

Tom Goddard, Senior Associate at Blick Rothenberg, noted that the growth in tax receipts has been consistent, despite a slight dip in August where receipts were almost £1 billion lower than in August 2023. He stated, “Total tax receipts continue to grow year on year, with an increase of £24 billion over the last 12 months. This offers some much-needed financial optimism for the government after a challenging budget that left many concerned about the economy.”

The latest figures show that total tax collected in the past year has now surpassed £842 billion and is on track to reach the £850 billion mark by December, traditionally a strong month for revenue collection.

Income tax has been a major contributor to the increase, with an approximate 8% year-on-year rise in receipts. This growth outpaces the current Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) rate of 2.3%, which itself rose by 0.6% in the past month. Goddard explained, “The rise in wages, particularly for the UK’s lowest earners, is continuing to drive higher tax receipts. Labour’s commitment to maintaining the national living wage and freezing income tax thresholds and personal allowances until 2028/29 will bring even more people into higher tax bands.”

Goddard further highlighted the potential future impact of these policies. “Labour’s stance on income tax thresholds and National Insurance contributions will not affect the tax take until after April 2025, but the groundwork is already being laid for a sustained increase in tax revenue in the coming years.”

On the topic of inheritance tax, which has also drawn attention in recent discussions, Goddard pointed out that it contributes a relatively modest portion to HMRC’s overall receipts. Over the last year, inheritance tax accounted for just under £8 billion, or approximately 0.9% of total receipts. He added that any changes to Agricultural Property Relief (APR) and Business Property Relief (BPR) will not impact revenues until April 2026, and the effects of inheritance tax changes may not be seen until November 2026.

The boost in tax receipts comes at a crucial time, providing the government with some financial breathing room amidst ongoing economic challenges.

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Santander UK Sets Aside £295 Million Over Mis-Sold Car Loans Amid Growing Industry Scandal

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Santander UK has set aside £295 million to potentially compensate customers affected by the mis-selling of car loans, as the controversy surrounding the motor finance industry continues to escalate. The bank’s provision comes amid concerns that the mis-selling scandal could lead to a redress bill of up to £30 billion, with Santander’s move contributing to nearly £1 billion in compensation provisions across the industry so far.

The issue stems from a wide-ranging review by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) into potentially unfair commissions in motor finance deals, which has prompted several lenders to set aside funds. Santander’s decision follows a landmark Court of Appeal ruling last month that expanded the scope of the issue and raised the possibility of mass redress for consumers.

The Court of Appeal judgment significantly widened the legal requirements around commission disclosures in motor finance agreements. The ruling found that any commission not properly disclosed or consented to by the borrower was unlawful, making lenders liable for repaying affected customers. This shift in legal interpretation has sent shockwaves through the industry, with lenders revising their practices and temporarily suspending some operations.

Santander’s provision, disclosed in its third-quarter figures, includes estimates for operational and legal costs, as well as potential compensation. The bank acknowledged significant uncertainties regarding the extent of any misconduct, stating that the financial impact could be either higher or lower than the amount set aside. The decision to make provisions follows growing expectations that lenders will be forced to compensate customers due to these mis-selling practices.

The provision also contributed to a sharp decline in Santander UK’s pre-tax profits, which dropped to £143 million for the three months ending in September, down from £558 million during the same period last year. The bank joins other major lenders, including Lloyds Banking Group, which has set aside £450 million for similar issues.

The controversy began in early 2021 when the FCA banned discretionary commissions, which were linked to the interest rates customers paid on loans. The commission arrangements were seen as encouraging dealers to sell more expensive credit to customers. The FCA’s subsequent investigation into these practices has sparked consumer complaints, leading to a review of contracts dating back to 2007.

The Court of Appeal ruling in October compounded the issue, calling into question the adequacy of current FCA regulations. Critics, including the head of the Finance & Leasing Association, have argued that the lack of regulatory clarity allowed the court to intervene, exacerbating confusion in the market. As the legal and financial consequences unfold, the industry awaits further clarity from the Supreme Court, which may ultimately decide the future of compensation claims.

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Motor Finance Scandal Could Cost Lenders Up to £30 Billion, Warns Moody’s

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A growing scandal over mis-sold motor finance could result in compensation bills of up to £30 billion for lenders, according to a warning from credit rating agency Moody’s. This latest estimate raises concerns that the issue could rival the scale of the payment protection insurance (PPI) scandal, which ultimately cost UK firms around £50 billion in redress.

The impact of the scandal may be more severe for smaller, specialist lenders, such as Close Brothers, Aldermore, Investec, and the financing arms of Ford and Volkswagen. While larger banks like Lloyds Banking Group, Barclays, and Santander UK may be better positioned to absorb the costs, Moody’s cautioned that these smaller institutions could face a “more significant hit to earnings and capitalisation.”

The motor finance industry has been under growing scrutiny since the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) banned discretionary commissions in car loan deals in early 2021. These commissions, paid by lenders to car dealers or credit brokers for arranging finance, were seen as unfair, as they incentivised higher interest rates for borrowers.

The ban followed increasing consumer complaints about the commissions, leading the FCA to launch a comprehensive review in January, examining such payments dating back to April 2007. The ongoing investigation has prompted speculation that the regulator may soon require car loan providers to compensate affected borrowers.

In July, the FCA indicated that compensation for mis-sold finance was now “more likely than when we started our review.” Moody’s estimates the potential compensation costs could range from £8 billion to £21 billion for the industry.

The situation worsened last month following a Court of Appeal ruling, which determined that any undisclosed commission paid to a borrower was unlawful, making lenders liable to repay the money. This ruling applies to all types of commission, not just discretionary payments, and could add up to £9 billion to the compensation bill.

The judgment has caused turmoil in the industry, with some lenders halting car loan operations to ensure compliance. Close Brothers and Aldermore, central to the ruling, are planning to appeal to the Supreme Court. Meanwhile, Santander UK has delayed its third-quarter results to assess the financial impact of the judgment, with figures expected to be released Wednesday.

Uncertainty surrounds the scope of the ruling, with speculation that it could extend to other forms of consumer finance, which would amplify the potential fallout for lenders. Moody’s warned that a broader application of the judgment could have a “significantly more negative impact.”

So far, most banks and car finance arms have not set aside funds to cover potential compensation, with Lloyds Banking Group being one of the few to make provisions, earmarking £450 million. The scale of potential compensation payments has raised concerns about the stability of smaller lenders and the wider impact on the UK’s financial sector.

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