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Hospitality Sector Voices Alarm Over Proposed Tax Increases and Economic Challenges

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As the new government settles in, many in the hospitality sector are expressing concern over proposed increases in National Insurance contributions for employers and potential changes to tax thresholds and living wage increases. Operators across the industry are sounding alarm bells, fearing these measures could exacerbate the already precarious situation facing many businesses.

The hospitality industry is currently grappling with a wave of closures, with establishments shutting down weekly due to financial pressures. Despite steady turnover for many operators in Liverpool and throughout the UK, making profits has become increasingly difficult. The sector is in dire need of a comprehensive tax recalibration, especially considering that hospitality generated £54 billion in tax receipts in 2022.

In Liverpool, where hospitality is a significant part of the economy, the tourism industry was valued at £6.25 billion in 2023. Stakeholders are urging that this figure must increase annually, but the pathway to achieving that growth remains uncertain. The current climate is marked by challenges that threaten the survival of countless establishments.

“Unless the government truly listens to our concerns, we will witness more closures and job losses,” warned a local hospitality operator. “How many more fresh food-led businesses must close for the government to realize the need for policies that allow the hospitality sector to grow, invest, and survive?”

With the post-COVID support measures fading and debts still looming, the sector is facing a challenging environment marked by declining consumer confidence. The struggle is not limited to restaurants; pubs, cafes, and bars are all contending with a difficult trading landscape, presenting a perfect storm for potential failure.

The key issues hindering growth include high VAT on fresh prepared foods, the ending of business rates relief, rising energy costs, inflation in ingredient prices, increased wages, and the burden of business PAYE and National Insurance contributions. Brexit has also introduced tariffs on imported goods, compounding the challenges businesses face, while the cost of borrowing and servicing loans taken during the pandemic further strain financial resources.

Industry leaders are particularly vocal about the urgent need to recalibrate the VAT on fresh prepared foods to align with European standards, enabling businesses to invest in their operations and communities. Additionally, calls for business rates reform are growing, advocating for a level playing field between physical high street businesses and online competitors.

“Currently, the way business rates are assessed is nonsensical, especially with the impending end of business rates relief, which would be another crippling blow,” emphasized a spokesperson for the sector.

As calls for change intensify, the hospitality industry hopes the Chancellor and the government will take heed of these pressing concerns. The time for action is now, as operators strive not just to survive but to thrive in a challenging economic landscape.

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HMRC Reports £24 Billion Increase in Tax Receipts, Boosting Government Finances

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HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) has reported a significant rise in tax receipts, marking a positive development for the government following recent budget criticisms. According to leading audit and business advisory firm Blick Rothenberg, total tax receipts have increased by £24 billion over the past year compared to the previous 12-month period.

Tom Goddard, Senior Associate at Blick Rothenberg, noted that the growth in tax receipts has been consistent, despite a slight dip in August where receipts were almost £1 billion lower than in August 2023. He stated, “Total tax receipts continue to grow year on year, with an increase of £24 billion over the last 12 months. This offers some much-needed financial optimism for the government after a challenging budget that left many concerned about the economy.”

The latest figures show that total tax collected in the past year has now surpassed £842 billion and is on track to reach the £850 billion mark by December, traditionally a strong month for revenue collection.

Income tax has been a major contributor to the increase, with an approximate 8% year-on-year rise in receipts. This growth outpaces the current Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) rate of 2.3%, which itself rose by 0.6% in the past month. Goddard explained, “The rise in wages, particularly for the UK’s lowest earners, is continuing to drive higher tax receipts. Labour’s commitment to maintaining the national living wage and freezing income tax thresholds and personal allowances until 2028/29 will bring even more people into higher tax bands.”

Goddard further highlighted the potential future impact of these policies. “Labour’s stance on income tax thresholds and National Insurance contributions will not affect the tax take until after April 2025, but the groundwork is already being laid for a sustained increase in tax revenue in the coming years.”

On the topic of inheritance tax, which has also drawn attention in recent discussions, Goddard pointed out that it contributes a relatively modest portion to HMRC’s overall receipts. Over the last year, inheritance tax accounted for just under £8 billion, or approximately 0.9% of total receipts. He added that any changes to Agricultural Property Relief (APR) and Business Property Relief (BPR) will not impact revenues until April 2026, and the effects of inheritance tax changes may not be seen until November 2026.

The boost in tax receipts comes at a crucial time, providing the government with some financial breathing room amidst ongoing economic challenges.

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Santander UK Sets Aside £295 Million Over Mis-Sold Car Loans Amid Growing Industry Scandal

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Santander UK has set aside £295 million to potentially compensate customers affected by the mis-selling of car loans, as the controversy surrounding the motor finance industry continues to escalate. The bank’s provision comes amid concerns that the mis-selling scandal could lead to a redress bill of up to £30 billion, with Santander’s move contributing to nearly £1 billion in compensation provisions across the industry so far.

The issue stems from a wide-ranging review by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) into potentially unfair commissions in motor finance deals, which has prompted several lenders to set aside funds. Santander’s decision follows a landmark Court of Appeal ruling last month that expanded the scope of the issue and raised the possibility of mass redress for consumers.

The Court of Appeal judgment significantly widened the legal requirements around commission disclosures in motor finance agreements. The ruling found that any commission not properly disclosed or consented to by the borrower was unlawful, making lenders liable for repaying affected customers. This shift in legal interpretation has sent shockwaves through the industry, with lenders revising their practices and temporarily suspending some operations.

Santander’s provision, disclosed in its third-quarter figures, includes estimates for operational and legal costs, as well as potential compensation. The bank acknowledged significant uncertainties regarding the extent of any misconduct, stating that the financial impact could be either higher or lower than the amount set aside. The decision to make provisions follows growing expectations that lenders will be forced to compensate customers due to these mis-selling practices.

The provision also contributed to a sharp decline in Santander UK’s pre-tax profits, which dropped to £143 million for the three months ending in September, down from £558 million during the same period last year. The bank joins other major lenders, including Lloyds Banking Group, which has set aside £450 million for similar issues.

The controversy began in early 2021 when the FCA banned discretionary commissions, which were linked to the interest rates customers paid on loans. The commission arrangements were seen as encouraging dealers to sell more expensive credit to customers. The FCA’s subsequent investigation into these practices has sparked consumer complaints, leading to a review of contracts dating back to 2007.

The Court of Appeal ruling in October compounded the issue, calling into question the adequacy of current FCA regulations. Critics, including the head of the Finance & Leasing Association, have argued that the lack of regulatory clarity allowed the court to intervene, exacerbating confusion in the market. As the legal and financial consequences unfold, the industry awaits further clarity from the Supreme Court, which may ultimately decide the future of compensation claims.

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Motor Finance Scandal Could Cost Lenders Up to £30 Billion, Warns Moody’s

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A growing scandal over mis-sold motor finance could result in compensation bills of up to £30 billion for lenders, according to a warning from credit rating agency Moody’s. This latest estimate raises concerns that the issue could rival the scale of the payment protection insurance (PPI) scandal, which ultimately cost UK firms around £50 billion in redress.

The impact of the scandal may be more severe for smaller, specialist lenders, such as Close Brothers, Aldermore, Investec, and the financing arms of Ford and Volkswagen. While larger banks like Lloyds Banking Group, Barclays, and Santander UK may be better positioned to absorb the costs, Moody’s cautioned that these smaller institutions could face a “more significant hit to earnings and capitalisation.”

The motor finance industry has been under growing scrutiny since the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) banned discretionary commissions in car loan deals in early 2021. These commissions, paid by lenders to car dealers or credit brokers for arranging finance, were seen as unfair, as they incentivised higher interest rates for borrowers.

The ban followed increasing consumer complaints about the commissions, leading the FCA to launch a comprehensive review in January, examining such payments dating back to April 2007. The ongoing investigation has prompted speculation that the regulator may soon require car loan providers to compensate affected borrowers.

In July, the FCA indicated that compensation for mis-sold finance was now “more likely than when we started our review.” Moody’s estimates the potential compensation costs could range from £8 billion to £21 billion for the industry.

The situation worsened last month following a Court of Appeal ruling, which determined that any undisclosed commission paid to a borrower was unlawful, making lenders liable to repay the money. This ruling applies to all types of commission, not just discretionary payments, and could add up to £9 billion to the compensation bill.

The judgment has caused turmoil in the industry, with some lenders halting car loan operations to ensure compliance. Close Brothers and Aldermore, central to the ruling, are planning to appeal to the Supreme Court. Meanwhile, Santander UK has delayed its third-quarter results to assess the financial impact of the judgment, with figures expected to be released Wednesday.

Uncertainty surrounds the scope of the ruling, with speculation that it could extend to other forms of consumer finance, which would amplify the potential fallout for lenders. Moody’s warned that a broader application of the judgment could have a “significantly more negative impact.”

So far, most banks and car finance arms have not set aside funds to cover potential compensation, with Lloyds Banking Group being one of the few to make provisions, earmarking £450 million. The scale of potential compensation payments has raised concerns about the stability of smaller lenders and the wider impact on the UK’s financial sector.

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