Business
Gold Prices Decline After US Election Results: Is It a Trend Change or Temporary Correction?
Following the announcement of the US presidential election results, the price of gold, which had set multiple records earlier in 2024, began to decline. This raises the question: is this a sign of a trend change or merely a temporary correction in the market?
Historically, gold has been regarded as a safe financial investment. Known for its reliability and steady growth in value, it has long been seen as a safe haven during times of economic uncertainty. However, as global financial markets evolved and investors increasingly turned to diverse financial instruments, gold’s role as the dominant investment began to decline.
Over the past two decades, during which the world has faced multiple financial crises, gold has once again proven to be one of the safest assets, offering consistent returns to investors. In the early 2000s, the price of gold per troy ounce was around $400, and by the time the 2008 financial crisis hit, it had risen to approximately $1,000. In 2011, the price peaked just below $2,000.
In 2024, gold experienced a significant surge, reaching record highs. By October 2024, the price of gold nearly exceeded $2,700 per ounce. This surge was driven by several global factors, including rising economic and political uncertainties, instability in the Middle East, and speculation about the outcome of the US presidential election. Furthermore, the US Federal Reserve’s decision to lower its benchmark interest rate in September 2024, followed by another reduction in November, led to a drop in US sovereign bond yields, contributing to the surge in gold prices.
Global demand for gold also surged in the third quarter of 2024, increasing by about 5%, setting a new record and pushing total gold consumption above $100 billion for the first time.
However, as is often the case with rapid price growth, gold’s price has recently experienced a decline. After the US election results were announced, the price of gold fell to around $2,600 per ounce.
While this price correction may raise concerns, experts caution that it is too early to predict whether this marks the beginning of a downward trend. Gold is still widely regarded as a valuable asset for protecting capital, and its price volatility is not unusual in times of economic adjustment.
As the global financial landscape continues to evolve, gold’s role as a safe-haven investment remains intact, and it is likely to remain an attractive option for investors looking to hedge against future uncertainties.
Business
UK Inflation Rises to 3% in January Amid Rising Food and Travel Costs
UK inflation rose to 3% in January, up from 2.5% in December, marking the fastest pace of price growth in 10 months, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The increase was driven by higher food prices, air fares, and private school fees, adding pressure to household budgets already stretched by the cost-of-living crisis.
Food Prices Continue to Climb
Grocery staples saw significant price hikes, with items like olive oil and lamb surging by 17% and 16% respectively over the past year. Essentials such as meat, eggs, cereals, and butter also became noticeably more expensive.
Consumers are bracing for further cost increases, as energy, water, and council tax bills are set to rise in April. The situation has left many struggling to keep up with daily expenses. Gaby Cowley, a young mother, told the BBC that her weekly grocery bill has nearly doubled in the last three years, highlighting the mounting pressure on household finances.
Private School Fees and Air Fares Add to Inflationary Pressures
A key factor behind January’s jump was the introduction of VAT on private school fees, which took effect on 1 January. The ONS reported that this one-off policy change triggered a 13% rise in fees, significantly contributing to the inflation figure.
Meanwhile, air fares also played a role in keeping inflation elevated. While flight prices typically dip in January, this year’s decline was less pronounced than usual, meaning travel costs remained higher than in previous years.
Impact on Interest Rates and Economic Policy
The inflation rate was higher than expected, leading to speculation over whether the Bank of England may slow the pace of interest rate cuts. With inflation still above the Bank’s 2% target, some economists believe policymakers could take a more cautious approach to monetary easing.
Former Bank of England policymaker Professor Jonathan Haskel questioned whether the latest spike is a sign of more inflation to come or a temporary blip that could be overlooked when setting future policy.
Treasury Minister James Murray acknowledged that the road to lower inflation could be “bumpy” but insisted government policies would “kick-start” economic growth. Meanwhile, both the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats blamed Labour’s tax and spending policies for the latest inflation rise, with Lib Dem leader Ed Davey warning of a ‘new era of stagflation’ if economic growth fails to keep pace with rising prices.
What’s Next?
Despite concerns, analysts such as Ruth Gregory of Capital Economics believe the inflation jump is “uncomfortable” for the Bank of England but not enough to halt interest rate cuts entirely. However, the risk of rising wages and higher household bills could keep inflation elevated in the months ahead, making it a key issue for both policymakers and the public.
Business
Scottish Public Sector Pay Rises Outpace Rest of UK, Raising Budget Concerns
Public sector workers in Scotland have received significantly higher pay increases than their counterparts elsewhere in the UK, placing added strain on the Scottish Government’s budget, according to new research from the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS).
The analysis reveals that Scottish state employees’ wages have risen by 5% above inflation since 2019, while public sector workers in the rest of the UK have seen no real-terms increase. This wage growth has coincided with a rapid expansion of the Scottish public sector workforce, further increasing financial pressure on Holyrood.
Rising Costs and Expanding Workforce
Since 2017, the number of public sector employees in Scotland has grown by 11%, equating to an additional 56,000 workers. As a result, the Scottish Government’s annual wage bill has soared to £27 billion, with state employment now accounting for 22% of Scotland’s total workforce, compared to 17% in England.
The IFS report highlights several public sector roles where Scottish salaries outstrip those elsewhere in the UK:
- Newly qualified teachers in Scotland earn £33,594, roughly £2,000 more than the £31,650 offered in most of England.
- Newly qualified nurses in Scotland start on £31,892, compared with £29,970 in large parts of England.
Concerns Over Fiscal Sustainability
Jonathan Cribb, an economist at the IFS, warned that the increased spending may not be delivering proportional benefits in staff retention or productivity.
“Scotland has not only increased the number of public sector workers more quickly than other parts of the UK, it has also increased their pay more quickly,” Cribb noted. “While these are reasonable priorities, they add to the Scottish Government’s fiscal challenges, given that funding from the UK Government will not reflect these Scotland-specific decisions.”
With Scotland’s block grant from Westminster fixed, higher pay and an expanded workforce have left Holyrood with difficult choices about how to fund public services in the long term.
Political Backlash
Critics argue that the spending increases are unsustainable and not improving public services at the rate taxpayers would expect.
Craig Hoy, a Scottish Conservative MSP, described the situation as “frankly unaffordable” and accused the Scottish National Party (SNP) of failing to control spending.
“There’s been no attempt by the SNP to rein in spending, to tackle waste on an industrial scale, or to improve public services,” Hoy said.
With Scotland’s budget already under pressure, the debate over public sector pay, government spending, and the sustainability of Scotland’s finances looks set to intensify in the months ahead.
Business
Vivienne Westwood CEO Under Fire Over Homophobic Bullying Allegations
The Vivienne Westwood fashion house is facing intense scrutiny following an independent investigation that upheld multiple allegations of homophobic bullying against its chief executive, Carlo D’Amario.
The findings, confirmed in June 2023 by employment barrister Paul Livingston, revealed that D’Amario repeatedly used homophobic slurs, bullied employees, and discriminated against staff based on their sexuality. Despite the findings, D’Amario remains in his position, while the complainant who initially raised the grievance has since left the company.
A Disconnect Between Image and Reality?
The allegations have sparked concerns about whether the progressive values championed by Dame Vivienne Westwood—a staunch advocate for LGBT+ rights and gender expression in fashion—have endured within her company.
While Vivienne Westwood Ltd has publicly embraced queer culture, including a recent collaboration with non-binary singer Sam Smith, the investigation’s findings suggest a disconnect between the brand’s external messaging and its internal leadership culture.
The Investigation and Findings
The allegations against D’Amario emerged when a gay employee filed an internal grievance in 2023, prompting the company to commission an independent probe. Eight witnesses were interviewed, and the investigation upheld five of the accusations, concluding that D’Amario had likely breached employment law.
According to the report, D’Amario frequently used homophobic nicknames for the employee, such as “Mary Poppins,” “Mary Fairy,” and “Homo Pomo.” One staff member recalled that D’Amario often used the term “homo pomo” in a way they found offensive.
Witnesses also reported that he criticized store displays for looking “too gay”, a comment that left some employees “horrified.”
When questioned, D’Amario denied all allegations, claiming that sexuality was “the last thing in [his] brain” and that any misunderstandings were due to language barriers. However, the investigator found his explanations “not persuasive.”
Further Allegations and Leadership Criticism
Beyond homophobic slurs, witnesses alleged that D’Amario made disparaging remarks about gay employees, including stating, “All these gay men in the company… you can’t trust them.” He also reportedly referred to well-dressed employees as part of a “gay parade.”
Allegations of racist remarks also surfaced, with one staff member claiming that D’Amario once told them, “I’m not racist, but all your clients are members of the mafia.”
The controversy over D’Amario’s leadership escalated in November 2023, when Cora Corré, Vivienne Westwood’s granddaughter, resigned from the company. In her resignation letter, Corré accused D’Amario of misusing Westwood’s designs, obstructing charitable fundraising efforts, and even bullying Dame Vivienne Westwood before her death in 2022.
She further alleged that Westwood had been unhappy with D’Amario’s leadership and had wanted him removed from the company. The fashion house did not respond to these claims at the time.
Vivienne Westwood Ltd’s Response and Next Steps
The findings of the Dobbs review determined that D’Amario’s behavior violated the company’s equality policy. Additionally, it revealed that Westwood and D’Amario had not completed mandatory diversity training.
Despite this, Vivienne Westwood Ltd has taken no public disciplinary action. Financial records show that D’Amario earned nearly £500,000 in 2023, further fueling criticism over the company’s lack of accountability.
The fashion house has repeatedly declined to comment on whether any action will be taken against D’Amario, leaving serious questions about its commitment to the values it publicly promotes.
With growing scrutiny on workplace culture and leadership accountability in the fashion industry, the brand now faces a defining moment: will it continue to back its CEO, or take decisive action to uphold the rebellious, inclusive legacy of Vivienne Westwood?
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