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Britons to Spend £4.6 Billion in Boxing Day Sales Despite Financial Pressures

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Britons are expected to spend a total of £4.6 billion in the Boxing Day sales this year, with the average shopper forecast to part with £236, according to new research from Barclays. While this represents a slight decrease from the £4.7 billion spent in 2023, it highlights a continued demand for discounts despite ongoing concerns over the cost of living.

The projected spend per person has dropped by £18 compared to last year, but it is still £50 more than in 2019, before the pandemic. Researchers attribute the increase to inflation as well as consumers’ ongoing desire to find value for money during the post-Christmas period.

Men are expected to outspend women by £53, with a shift in spending patterns likely to reflect a focus on practicality and sustainability. “It’s encouraging to hear that consumers will be actively participating in the post-Christmas sales,” said Karen Johnson, head of retail at Barclays. “We’re likely to see a shift towards practicality, with many shoppers looking for bargains on kitchen appliances and second-hand goods.”

Barclays’ research reveals that kitchen gadgets, especially air fryers, have surged in popularity, with year-on-year sales up 7%. This trend reflects consumers’ efforts to save on high-ticket items that might otherwise be out of reach.

Despite rising costs, many shoppers are still planning to make the most of the sales. Nearly a quarter of consumers, however, plan to purchase only essential items. In a notable shift, more than a quarter of the public (up from 15% in 2023) plans to shop in-store this year, driven by the desire for social interaction, the ability to touch and feel products before purchasing, and the traditional excitement of high-street shopping.

“I’m excited to return to the high street for the first time since the pandemic,” said shopper Gabrielle Kirkham. “It’s easier to try on clothes and skincare in person, so I’m looking forward to picking up some discounted items.”

While some retailers are closing their doors on Boxing Day, those that remain open are likely to benefit. A quarter of consumers planning to shop in the sales will spend most of their money in physical stores, with many citing the ability to see products firsthand and the enjoyment of socializing while shopping.

High streets and shopping centres are expected to be the top destinations, with around one-third of British consumers intending to visit them. Supporting local businesses is also a key motivator for many, with 17% planning to shop on their local high street and 15% supporting independent retailers.

However, online shopping is set to capture the largest share of spending. Barclays forecasts that 65% of Boxing Day purchases will be made online, a slight increase from last year. To entice more people back to physical stores, retailers might consider offering in-store-only discounts or exclusive gifts, with around a third of shoppers saying such offers would sway their decision.

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Plans for UK “Digital Pound” Face Uncertainty Amid Growing Skepticism

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Plans for the introduction of a UK “digital pound” are facing significant challenges as Bank of England officials grow increasingly sceptical about the project. The idea of a central bank digital currency (CBDC), often referred to as “Britcoin,” was initially slated for a formal decision in 2025, with an expected launch by 2030. However, concerns surrounding privacy, costs, and persistent conspiracy theories are raising fresh doubts about whether the digital pound will ever come to fruition.

A digital pound would theoretically offer consumers a secure, electronic form of money, with transactions managed through smartphone apps and underpinned by the safety of central bank backing. However, some critics, including certain politicians and conspiracy theorists, fear that a CBDC could enable the government to monitor and control citizens’ spending. Nigel Farage, leader of the Reform Party, has warned that a digital pound could give the state “total control over our lives.”

These concerns, combined with the practical challenges of creating a national digital currency, have put the project in jeopardy. According to sources familiar with the discussions, Bank of England officials remain divided on whether the benefits of a digital pound outweigh its potential risks. The final decision will ultimately rest with Bank governor Andrew Bailey and Chancellor Rachel Reeves.

The global context is also complicating the UK’s plans. In the United States, lawmakers recently passed an “anti-surveillance” bill in the House of Representatives, aiming to block the launch of a digital dollar unless Congress explicitly authorizes it. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank is expected to make a decision by the end of 2025 on whether to proceed with the development of a digital euro, despite resistance from Germany’s conservative Christian Democrats, who are concerned about user privacy.

This hesitation reflects broader caution over CBDCs, particularly those intended for everyday use by retail customers. While the UK and European authorities initially viewed CBDCs as a necessary response to private stablecoins, such as Facebook’s now-defunct Libra, enthusiasm has waned due to technical and political challenges.

Despite growing skepticism over retail-focused digital currencies, the push for a “wholesale” CBDC, intended for use among commercial banks and financial institutions, remains strong. Policymakers believe that a wholesale CBDC could streamline interbank transactions and reduce systemic risks without raising the same privacy concerns.

A Bank of England spokesperson confirmed that work on the digital pound is still “ongoing,” with no formal decision yet made on whether to proceed. The spokesperson emphasized that, should a digital pound be introduced, it would be accompanied by primary legislation to safeguard user privacy and control over their funds.

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Middle-Class Parents Support VAT on Private School Fees, Says Education Secretary

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Middle-class parents have expressed support for the government’s decision to impose a 20% VAT charge on private school fees, according to Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson. Speaking ahead of the policy’s official launch this Wednesday, Phillipson highlighted that many families are increasingly “priced out” of independent education due to rising costs and are now seeking stronger state-run alternatives.

With some boarding schools charging upwards of £50,000 annually and the average private school fee now around £18,000, Phillipson argued that “pushy middle-class parents” can no longer afford such expenses. She believes this supports Labour’s position that removing tax breaks for private schools will generate an estimated £460 million for the 2024–25 financial year, a figure that could rise to £1.7 billion by 2029–30. The funds, she says, would support 6,500 new state teachers and provide additional mental health resources for students.

Despite opposition from private schools, which have seen their fees increase by 75% in real terms since 2000, officials at the Department for Education (DfE) predict the VAT hike will only reduce private school enrollment by 6%, with many pupils transferring to the state sector. Phillipson dismissed concerns over widespread closures as “scaremongering,” pointing to the smooth integration of pupils from Ukraine and Hong Kong into state schools without significant issues.

Private institutions are responding to the VAT change in different ways. Some, including prestigious schools like Eton and Westminster, are passing the full 20% charge onto parents. Others, such as Queen Ethelburga’s in York, are limiting fee increases to around 3%. Schools can reclaim VAT on certain expenses like capital projects and educational supplies, reducing their net VAT liability to approximately 15%. Phillipson emphasized that many private schools have “no good reason” to pass the full burden onto parents.

The Independent Schools Council has voiced concerns that the new tax, combined with increased employer national insurance contributions and the loss of charitable business rate relief, has left schools in a difficult financial position. For instance, Carrdus School in Oxfordshire announced it will close in July 2024 due to these mounting pressures. However, Phillipson maintains that the additional funding from the VAT will strengthen the state school system, calling it a “badge of honour” if the move leads to improved standards across the country.

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Government Contractors Shift Rising Labour Costs onto Treasury, Raising Concerns for Taxpayers

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Major government contractors are pushing the financial burden of rising national insurance (NI) contributions and higher wages onto the Treasury, raising concerns about the impact on taxpayers. Leading cleaning, facilities management, and construction companies, including Churchill Group, Mitie, and Mace, are negotiating with Whitehall to pass on the costs of April’s employment-related tax increases.

Starting in spring 2024, employers will see an increase in NI contributions from 13.8% to 15%, along with a rise in the national living wage from £11.44 to £12.21 per hour. While private-sector providers with commercial clients may be forced to trim their workforce or implement other cost-saving measures, public sector contractors are seeking to secure higher rates on their government contracts. Many of these companies have contract clauses that allow for price reviews if labour costs rise due to legislative changes, while others are renegotiating deals to protect slim profit margins.

Churchill Group, which provides cleaning services for train companies under the oversight of the Department for Transport, has confirmed it will raise rates to offset the increased wage and NI costs. Mitie, another major contractor, expects to recoup around 60% of its additional NIC costs, estimated at £35 million, through similar pass-through clauses. Mace, a leading construction firm, is set to open discussions with government departments to recover additional costs related to building and infrastructure projects, including hospitals.

Government sources say they have little choice but to agree to these higher contract rates, fearing that cutting back on public services would be detrimental. However, concerns are mounting that the rise in outsourced contract prices will create a wave of cost increases across various sectors, including the retail industry. The Treasury’s analysis suggests that major retailers, such as Tesco and Amazon, will also face significant additional costs due to the NI changes.

Business groups, including the British Retail Consortium, have warned that the extra labour costs could lead to job losses in the private sector. The sheer scale of the increases may force companies to reconsider their staffing needs. However, Paul Nowak, general secretary of the Trades Union Congress, has dismissed these concerns, urging caution in accepting companies’ claims.

The Treasury remains confident that its budget will deliver economic stability, pointing to targeted business rate relief for the hospitality, retail, and leisure sectors, as well as a permanent lower business rate to be introduced in 2026. Despite the government’s assurances, taxpayers may ultimately feel the financial strain as contractors pass on these rising costs.

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