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British Retailers See Modest Christmas Spending Boost, Led by Online Sales

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British consumers are spending more in the lead-up to Christmas, with retail spending rising 2.3% year-on-year for the seven weeks leading up to December 20, according to figures from Visa. Online sales led the charge, increasing by 6.1%, while electronics and homeware purchases saw the most significant boost, with department stores reporting a 7% uptick in trade.

Despite the overall increase, some retail categories, such as clothing and accessories, struggled. Sales in these sectors fell by 2%, indicating that consumers are being more selective with their purchases. Analysts suggest that careful spending, along with a mild autumn that led to widespread discounting, contributed to the subdued performance in fashion.

Alicia Ngomo Fernandez, head of UK consulting at Visa, noted that the data points to “moderate growth” in sales, with “stronger online shopping and solid growth in spending at department stores.” This cautious optimism is fueled by improvements in disposable income, which rose by 10.5% in November, marking six consecutive months of double-digit gains, according to Asda’s Income Tracker, compiled by Cebr.

“Super Saturday,” the Saturday before Christmas, saw footfall increase by 0.8% compared to the same day last year, with estimates suggesting consumers spent roughly £3 billion. However, visitor levels on high streets and in shopping centers during the first three weeks of December remained 3.6% below 2023, likely due to the continued strain of high costs for essentials like energy and groceries.

Experts believe part of this shortfall can be attributed to the timing of Black Friday, which occurred later than usual and extended into December, pulling forward some Christmas purchases. With Christmas falling on a Monday, many families only began their holidays on Saturday, which could further boost footfall as the festive period continues.

Retail consultant Andy Sumpter of Sensormatic expects a final surge in spending on Monday, which is expected to be the third-busiest trading day of the year. “While ‘Super Saturday’ delivered a frenzy of festive footfall, the big question is whether these final flurries of Christmas trade will compensate for the earlier dip,” he said.

In response to the fluctuating sales trends, some retailers have already begun offering discounts ahead of Boxing Day. New Look, The Range, and Debenhams have launched early sales, while Next has provided VIP customers with early access to its post-Christmas offers.

As consumer sentiment improves, albeit tempered by ongoing cost-of-living pressures, the industry is closely monitoring the final figures to determine whether this year’s spending boost will meet expectations.

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UK Inflation Rises to 3% in January Amid Rising Food and Travel Costs

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UK inflation rose to 3% in January, up from 2.5% in December, marking the fastest pace of price growth in 10 months, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The increase was driven by higher food prices, air fares, and private school fees, adding pressure to household budgets already stretched by the cost-of-living crisis.

Food Prices Continue to Climb

Grocery staples saw significant price hikes, with items like olive oil and lamb surging by 17% and 16% respectively over the past year. Essentials such as meat, eggs, cereals, and butter also became noticeably more expensive.

Consumers are bracing for further cost increases, as energy, water, and council tax bills are set to rise in April. The situation has left many struggling to keep up with daily expenses. Gaby Cowley, a young mother, told the BBC that her weekly grocery bill has nearly doubled in the last three years, highlighting the mounting pressure on household finances.

Private School Fees and Air Fares Add to Inflationary Pressures

A key factor behind January’s jump was the introduction of VAT on private school fees, which took effect on 1 January. The ONS reported that this one-off policy change triggered a 13% rise in fees, significantly contributing to the inflation figure.

Meanwhile, air fares also played a role in keeping inflation elevated. While flight prices typically dip in January, this year’s decline was less pronounced than usual, meaning travel costs remained higher than in previous years.

Impact on Interest Rates and Economic Policy

The inflation rate was higher than expected, leading to speculation over whether the Bank of England may slow the pace of interest rate cuts. With inflation still above the Bank’s 2% target, some economists believe policymakers could take a more cautious approach to monetary easing.

Former Bank of England policymaker Professor Jonathan Haskel questioned whether the latest spike is a sign of more inflation to come or a temporary blip that could be overlooked when setting future policy.

Treasury Minister James Murray acknowledged that the road to lower inflation could be “bumpy” but insisted government policies would “kick-start” economic growth. Meanwhile, both the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats blamed Labour’s tax and spending policies for the latest inflation rise, with Lib Dem leader Ed Davey warning of a ‘new era of stagflation’ if economic growth fails to keep pace with rising prices.

What’s Next?

Despite concerns, analysts such as Ruth Gregory of Capital Economics believe the inflation jump is “uncomfortable” for the Bank of England but not enough to halt interest rate cuts entirely. However, the risk of rising wages and higher household bills could keep inflation elevated in the months ahead, making it a key issue for both policymakers and the public.

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Scottish Public Sector Pay Rises Outpace Rest of UK, Raising Budget Concerns

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Public sector workers in Scotland have received significantly higher pay increases than their counterparts elsewhere in the UK, placing added strain on the Scottish Government’s budget, according to new research from the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS).

The analysis reveals that Scottish state employees’ wages have risen by 5% above inflation since 2019, while public sector workers in the rest of the UK have seen no real-terms increase. This wage growth has coincided with a rapid expansion of the Scottish public sector workforce, further increasing financial pressure on Holyrood.

Rising Costs and Expanding Workforce

Since 2017, the number of public sector employees in Scotland has grown by 11%, equating to an additional 56,000 workers. As a result, the Scottish Government’s annual wage bill has soared to £27 billion, with state employment now accounting for 22% of Scotland’s total workforce, compared to 17% in England.

The IFS report highlights several public sector roles where Scottish salaries outstrip those elsewhere in the UK:

  • Newly qualified teachers in Scotland earn £33,594, roughly £2,000 more than the £31,650 offered in most of England.
  • Newly qualified nurses in Scotland start on £31,892, compared with £29,970 in large parts of England.

Concerns Over Fiscal Sustainability

Jonathan Cribb, an economist at the IFS, warned that the increased spending may not be delivering proportional benefits in staff retention or productivity.

“Scotland has not only increased the number of public sector workers more quickly than other parts of the UK, it has also increased their pay more quickly,” Cribb noted. “While these are reasonable priorities, they add to the Scottish Government’s fiscal challenges, given that funding from the UK Government will not reflect these Scotland-specific decisions.”

With Scotland’s block grant from Westminster fixed, higher pay and an expanded workforce have left Holyrood with difficult choices about how to fund public services in the long term.

Political Backlash

Critics argue that the spending increases are unsustainable and not improving public services at the rate taxpayers would expect.

Craig Hoy, a Scottish Conservative MSP, described the situation as “frankly unaffordable” and accused the Scottish National Party (SNP) of failing to control spending.

“There’s been no attempt by the SNP to rein in spending, to tackle waste on an industrial scale, or to improve public services,” Hoy said.

With Scotland’s budget already under pressure, the debate over public sector pay, government spending, and the sustainability of Scotland’s finances looks set to intensify in the months ahead.

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Vivienne Westwood CEO Under Fire Over Homophobic Bullying Allegations

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The Vivienne Westwood fashion house is facing intense scrutiny following an independent investigation that upheld multiple allegations of homophobic bullying against its chief executive, Carlo D’Amario.

The findings, confirmed in June 2023 by employment barrister Paul Livingston, revealed that D’Amario repeatedly used homophobic slurs, bullied employees, and discriminated against staff based on their sexuality. Despite the findings, D’Amario remains in his position, while the complainant who initially raised the grievance has since left the company.

A Disconnect Between Image and Reality?

The allegations have sparked concerns about whether the progressive values championed by Dame Vivienne Westwood—a staunch advocate for LGBT+ rights and gender expression in fashion—have endured within her company.

While Vivienne Westwood Ltd has publicly embraced queer culture, including a recent collaboration with non-binary singer Sam Smith, the investigation’s findings suggest a disconnect between the brand’s external messaging and its internal leadership culture.

The Investigation and Findings

The allegations against D’Amario emerged when a gay employee filed an internal grievance in 2023, prompting the company to commission an independent probe. Eight witnesses were interviewed, and the investigation upheld five of the accusations, concluding that D’Amario had likely breached employment law.

According to the report, D’Amario frequently used homophobic nicknames for the employee, such as “Mary Poppins,” “Mary Fairy,” and “Homo Pomo.” One staff member recalled that D’Amario often used the term “homo pomo” in a way they found offensive.

Witnesses also reported that he criticized store displays for looking “too gay”, a comment that left some employees “horrified.”

When questioned, D’Amario denied all allegations, claiming that sexuality was “the last thing in [his] brain” and that any misunderstandings were due to language barriers. However, the investigator found his explanations “not persuasive.”

Further Allegations and Leadership Criticism

Beyond homophobic slurs, witnesses alleged that D’Amario made disparaging remarks about gay employees, including stating, “All these gay men in the company… you can’t trust them.” He also reportedly referred to well-dressed employees as part of a “gay parade.”

Allegations of racist remarks also surfaced, with one staff member claiming that D’Amario once told them, “I’m not racist, but all your clients are members of the mafia.”

The controversy over D’Amario’s leadership escalated in November 2023, when Cora Corré, Vivienne Westwood’s granddaughter, resigned from the company. In her resignation letter, Corré accused D’Amario of misusing Westwood’s designs, obstructing charitable fundraising efforts, and even bullying Dame Vivienne Westwood before her death in 2022.

She further alleged that Westwood had been unhappy with D’Amario’s leadership and had wanted him removed from the company. The fashion house did not respond to these claims at the time.

Vivienne Westwood Ltd’s Response and Next Steps

The findings of the Dobbs review determined that D’Amario’s behavior violated the company’s equality policy. Additionally, it revealed that Westwood and D’Amario had not completed mandatory diversity training.

Despite this, Vivienne Westwood Ltd has taken no public disciplinary action. Financial records show that D’Amario earned nearly £500,000 in 2023, further fueling criticism over the company’s lack of accountability.

The fashion house has repeatedly declined to comment on whether any action will be taken against D’Amario, leaving serious questions about its commitment to the values it publicly promotes.

With growing scrutiny on workplace culture and leadership accountability in the fashion industry, the brand now faces a defining moment: will it continue to back its CEO, or take decisive action to uphold the rebellious, inclusive legacy of Vivienne Westwood?

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