Connect with us

News

Britain’s Soaring Sickness Bill Sparks Concerns Over Benefits System

Published

on

Britain’s rising sickness bill, now costing the public purse more than £65.7 billion annually, has raised alarms among policymakers and economists. With nearly 2.8 million people claiming incapacity and disability benefits, the number of workers absent on long-term health grounds has surged far above pre-pandemic levels.

The House of Lords’ economic affairs committee has warned that the problem cannot be solely blamed on deteriorating health or NHS delays. Instead, evidence suggests that the benefits system itself may be contributing to the rise in claimants, with sickness support now surpassing the entire national defence budget.

The increase in mental health conditions and back problems has partly driven this sharp rise. Official data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) reveals that around 700,000 more people are now out of work due to long-term sickness than in early 2020. Despite the global nature of the pandemic, the UK’s incapacity rate has increased more rapidly than in many other countries.

However, after questioning leading experts, the Lords committee concluded that there is no convincing evidence to suggest that deteriorating health or high NHS waiting lists are the main drivers of the increase in benefits. Government data also shows that overall health in the population has remained relatively stable over the past decade, although concerns persist about stagnant life expectancy and the growing number of people self-reporting as disabled.

Instead, experts are highlighting deeper structural issues within the benefits system. Stephen Evans, from the Learning and Work Institute, pointed out that tightened rules and sanctions for unemployment benefit, combined with a lower weekly payment, are pushing more people toward incapacity benefits, which offer a higher income. Eduin Latimer from the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) agrees, noting that switching from unemployment benefits to incapacity benefits can double a person’s income.

This shift is particularly concerning given the lack of support for those claiming health-related benefits. Once individuals are classified as too ill to work, they typically receive little help from job centres, with less than one in ten claimants receiving job-hunting support. Furthermore, only 1% of those deemed inactive due to illness return to work after six months.

The Lords’ committee expressed concern that once individuals begin receiving health-related benefits, there is little incentive or support to return to the workforce. This lack of guidance not only burdens public finances but also undermines the long-term prospects of individuals who may recover and be able to work again, but never receive the support to do so.

Forecasts suggest that the UK’s long-term sickness bill could exceed £100 billion by 2030, adding pressure on the Prime Minister to address the growing crisis. Experts agree that no single factor is to blame, but the structure of incapacity benefits, along with external shocks like the pandemic, has created a perfect storm. Solutions will likely require reforms to the benefits system, improved mental health support, and better back-to-work programmes that offer real hope for those struggling with illness and financial pressures.

News

Chancellor Rachel Reeves Pledges Overhaul of UK Immigration System to Attract Skilled Talent

Published

on

By

Chancellor Rachel Reeves has announced plans for a comprehensive review of the UK’s immigration framework, with a focus on creating new visa pathways for high-skilled workers in fields like artificial intelligence (AI) and life sciences. This move is part of the government’s broader strategy to stimulate economic growth and reaffirm the UK’s openness to global talent.

Speaking at a breakfast event during the World Economic Forum in Davos, Reeves revealed that a white paper detailing the government’s vision for immigration will be published later this year. The document will outline plans to make the UK an even more attractive destination for skilled professionals and international businesses.

“We are going to look again at routes for the highest-skilled people, particularly in areas like AI and life sciences,” Reeves said. “Britain is open for business, and we are open for talent. We have some of the world’s best universities and entrepreneurs, but we also want to bring in global talent.”

While the Labour Party has traditionally advocated for reducing overall migration levels, Reeves emphasized the importance of reassuring international firms and investors that the UK remains a competitive destination for skilled workers. As part of the reform process, ministers plan to engage with businesses to ensure that visa pathways are streamlined and more accessible. British diplomats will also be encouraged to promote the UK as an attractive place to live and work.

Reeves’ comments reflect a broader “pro-growth” ethos, shared by Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds, which was central to their messaging at Davos. Both ministers highlighted the importance of progressing infrastructure projects like airport expansions, arguing that local opposition should not derail these vital initiatives.

Reeves was also asked about the potential approval of a third runway at Heathrow Airport. While she did not directly confirm the decision, she emphasized that the answer to major national infrastructure projects “can’t always be no,” signaling her support for large-scale developments to boost economic growth.

In related news, Reeves confirmed that Marcus Bokkerink’s sudden departure as chair of the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) was linked to the government’s desire for regulators to take a more proactive role in supporting economic growth. Doug Gurr, the former head of Amazon UK, will replace Bokkerink, with the aim of aligning the CMA more closely with the government’s economic agenda.

Commenting on the proposed visa reforms, Karendeep Kaur, Legal Director at Migrate UK, welcomed the idea of simplified visa routes for businesses reliant on specialist skills. However, she expressed concern about the complexities and costs associated with the sponsor licence system, warning that increasing fees could deter businesses from applying for sponsorship.

“The increased pressure for compliance may deter businesses from applying for a sponsor licence,” Kaur said. “This could complicate the government’s goal of attracting skilled workers.”

Despite these challenges, the Treasury aims to position the UK as a global innovation hub by leveraging its world-class universities, thriving entrepreneurial ecosystem, and “pro-growth” policies, with the hope that revamped immigration strategies will address post-pandemic economic challenges.

Continue Reading

News

Treasury Intervenes in Supreme Court Case Amid Motor Finance Mis-Selling Concerns

Published

on

By

The Treasury is seeking to intervene in a landmark Supreme Court case that could expose Britain’s motor finance industry to a mis-selling crisis on a scale comparable to the notorious PPI scandal. The government is urging the court to consider the broader implications for investor confidence in the UK’s regulatory framework and to ensure any compensation awarded is “proportionate.”

The Supreme Court will decide whether to permit the Treasury’s intervention, but the move highlights mounting concerns over potential liabilities for motor finance providers. Analysts estimate these liabilities could reach £44 billion, approaching the £50 billion total banks paid in PPI claims.

A Treasury spokesperson said: “We want to see a fair and proportionate judgment that ensures compensation to consumers that is proportionate to the losses they have suffered and allows the motor finance sector to continue supporting millions of motorists.”

Market Reaction

The announcement provided a lift to banks involved in motor finance. Close Brothers, a merchant bank with significant car finance operations, saw its shares surge by 20% to 294p. Lloyds Banking Group, owner of Black Horse vehicle finance, experienced a 4% increase to 61p.

RBC Capital Markets called the Treasury’s involvement “clearly positive for the UK banks with motor finance exposure.” However, it cautioned that the ultimate decision rests with the five Supreme Court judges.

Industry Alarm

The case follows an October Court of Appeal ruling that undisclosed commissions on motor loans were unlawful, leaving lenders liable to refund borrowers. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has been scrutinizing the sector’s commission practices, with its review reaching back to April 2007.

As vehicle financing underpins approximately 80% of car purchases in the UK, the potential fallout could be enormous. Banks have already begun preparing for potential payouts. Lloyds has set aside £450 million, while Santander’s UK division holds £295 million. Close Brothers has yet to make provisions but recently suspended its dividend and sold its wealth management arm to raise £400 million in capital.

High Stakes

Jefferies analysts emphasized the importance of proportionate compensation. “The argument that any compensation due should be proportionate is key,” they stated.

If the Supreme Court upholds the Court of Appeal’s decision in April, lenders could face a wave of refunds, forcing a costly restructuring across the sector similar to the PPI debacle.

For now, the Treasury’s intervention provides some optimism for motor finance firms while underscoring the high stakes in what could become one of Britain’s most significant financial crises.

Continue Reading

News

Volkswagen Warns of Economic Fallout from Proposed US Tariffs on Mexican Imports

Published

on

By

Volkswagen has issued a warning about the potential economic consequences of the US administration’s proposed tariffs on Mexican vehicle imports. The automaker cautioned that such measures could negatively impact American consumers and disrupt the global automotive industry.

The warning follows statements from President Donald Trump, who indicated plans to impose tariffs of up to 25% on vehicles from Mexico and Canada by February 1. The proposed move is part of an effort to address concerns over migration.

Volkswagen, which operates a major manufacturing plant in Puebla, Mexico, expressed its opposition to the potential tariffs. The Puebla facility, Volkswagen’s largest outside Europe, produced nearly 350,000 vehicles in 2023, most of which were exported to the United States.

“The Volkswagen Group is concerned about the harmful economic impact that proposed tariffs by the US administration will have on American consumers and the international automotive industry. We remain a strong advocate for free and fair trade,” the company said in a statement.

Tariff Impacts on the Auto Sector

Volkswagen has invested over $10 billion in the US market and highlighted that open markets have historically driven global economic growth. Analysts from Stifel estimate that 65% of Volkswagen’s US sales are sourced from vehicles made in Mexico. Should the proposed tariffs take effect, Volkswagen may face significant challenges, with the brand’s competitiveness in the US market potentially at risk.

Volkswagen shares fell by 0.5%, dropping €0.50 to €96.35, amid the uncertainty. Shares of rival Stellantis also declined by 1.3%, closing at €12.68. Stellantis, which imports about 40% of its US-sold vehicles from Mexico and Canada, has supported initiatives to strengthen US-based manufacturing. John Elkann, Stellantis chairman, recently met with Trump and senior administration officials to discuss trade and manufacturing policies.

Broader Trade Implications

The proposed tariffs could jeopardize the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), which succeeded the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Both Canada and Mexico have vowed to retaliate with counter-tariffs if Trump proceeds, raising the risk of a new trade war.

Financial markets reflected these concerns, with the Canadian dollar and Mexican peso weakening against the US dollar. By mid-morning, the Canadian dollar had dropped 0.9%, while the Mexican peso fell 1.2%.

As the automotive industry braces for potential disruptions, the proposed tariffs could have far-reaching implications for trade relations and market stability across North America.

Continue Reading

Trending